Fifteenth Annual International Meeting of 
The Brunswik Society


Friday – Sunday, July 16-18, 1999
Mountainview Room, (4th Floor)
College Inn, Boulder, Colorado

Friday, July 16, 1999

7:00 – 9:00 p.m. Reception, Lobby, College Inn (Beer, wine, hors d’oeuvres)

Saturday, July 17, 1999

7:30 – 8:30 Breakfast at the College Inn

8:30 - 10:00 Introductions and research paper session 1 (Chair – Len Adelman)

Welcome (Tom Stewart)

Brief introductions

Policy persuasion: Capturing how people change their minds. (Elise A. Weaver)

How judgments of social trust are made (Timothy Earle)

Psychology and the fundamental attribution error: Are we guilty? (Phil Dunwoody)

10:00 - 10:20 Break

10:20 - 11:00 Research paper session 2 (Chair, Tom Stewart)

Aging and MCPL: The Effect of Task Predictability (Gerard Chasseigne)

Judgment and decision making in the U.S. and France about acute otitis media in children (Paul Sorum)

11:00 – 12:00 Issue discussion 1: Under what task conditions are people well adapted? Under what conditions are we not well adapted? (Michael Doherty, Chair, Alex Kirlik, John Gillis)

12:00 - 2:00 Lunch Colorado Room. Speaker: Ken Hammond (Introduced by John Gillis)

2:00 - 3:20 Research paper session 3 (Chair, James Holzworth)

The effectiveness of using easy goals to strengthen self-efficacy perceptions and personal goals (Megan Lee Endres)

Computer simulation explorations of the adaptive success of group judgment and decision heuristics (Reid Hastie and Tatsuya Kameda)

Web-based decision making (Gary McClelland)

Clinical judgment analysis and the diagnostic assessment of physicians' cognitive skills (Tony LaDuca, Tom Stewart, Naiyi Hsiao)

3:20 - 4:00 Break

4:00 - 5:00 Issue discussion 2: What constitutes representative design? What does it mean in practice? (Bob Wigton, Chair, Robert Hamm, Reid Hastie, Len Adelman)

5:00 Adjourn

6:00 Reception at the Hammond’s

Sunday, July 18, 1999

7:30 – 8:30 Breakfast at the College Inn

8:30 – 9:30 Research paper session 4 (Chair, Tim Earle)

Thresholds on the number needed to treat (nnt) based on treatment costs and utility gains (Robert Hamm)

Affirmative action and duality of error (Jeryl Mumpower)

Willingness-to-pay for improvements in health and the other attributes of air quality (Alan Diener)

9:30 - 10:30 Issue discussion 3: Expertise: What can we say about expert judgment and how to improve it? (Jeryl Mumpower, Chair, James Shanteau, Tom Tape)

10:30 - 11:00 Break

11:00 - 12:00 Issue discussion 4: Are our methods serving us well? (James Hogge, Chair, James Holzworth, Gary McClelland, Neal Dawson)

Young Investigator Prize Awarded to Phil Dunwoody

12:00 Adjourn (Lunch on your own)

Meeting organizer: Tom Stewart (T.STEWART@ALBANY.EDU)
Revised 7/28/99

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